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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD retreats further from two-week highs after US ISM Service PMI

  • US Service sector data surpass expectations, no significant surprises.
  • Treasury yields rebound from daily lows.
  • XAU/USD retreats further from two-week highs, tests $1,840.

Gold prices weakened after the US data, however remained positive for the day and the week. XAU/USD fell to the $1,840/oz area, pulling back from the two-week high it hit earlier near $1,850.

US ISM Services PMI shows numbers above expectations

The ISM Services PMI came in at 55.1 in February, above the 54.5 expected and slightly under the 55.2 of January. The Prices Paid Index pulled back from 67.8 to 65.5, above the 64.5 of market consensus. Ahead of the NFP week, the Employment Index jumped to 54, against expectations of a slide to 49.8.

Previously, the final reading of the US S&P Global Services PMI showed a positive revision from 50.5 of the flash estimate to 50.6.

The US Dollar edged higher following the report, turned positive versus the Euro and the NZD and trimmed losses versus the Pound and the Yen. US yields rebounded from daily lows. The US 10-year yield rose from 3.97% to 4.02%. 

XAU/USD dropped to as low as $1,840/oz, still holding in positive ground for the day. Gold continues to back away from the two-week high it hit earlier on Friday at $1,849.

On a daily basis, Gold is still up for the day but off highs. An intraday support emerges around $1,837. A break lower would expose the $1,830 area. On the upside, the key barrier remains the $1,845/$1,850 range.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1843.89
Today Daily Change 7.71
Today Daily Change % 0.42
Today daily open 1836.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1844.18
Daily SMA50 1867.48
Daily SMA100 1798.78
Daily SMA200 1775.47
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1839.02
Previous Daily Low 1830.01
Previous Weekly High 1847.59
Previous Weekly Low 1808.99
Previous Monthly High 1959.8
Previous Monthly Low 1804.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1833.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1835.58
Daily Pivot Point S1 1831.12
Daily Pivot Point S2 1826.06
Daily Pivot Point S3 1822.11
Daily Pivot Point R1 1840.13
Daily Pivot Point R2 1844.08
Daily Pivot Point R3 1849.14

 

 

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