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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD slides back closer to weekly lows, around $1930 area

  • A modest pickup in the USD demand prompted some fresh selling around gold.
  • The prevalent cautious mood, weaker US bond yields might help limit the slide.

Gold edged lower during the early European session and dropped back closer to the lower end of its weekly trading range, around the $1930 level.

The precious metal met with some fresh supply on the last trading day of the week and eroded a part of the previous day's modest recovery move from weekly lows. An unexpected jump in the US Initial Jobless Claims added to the market worries about the US economic recovery.

This comes amid the uncertainty over the next round of the US fiscal stimulus measures, which boosted the metal's perceived safe-haven status. However, some renewed US dollar buying interest on Friday prompted some fresh selling around the dollar-denominated commodity.

Meanwhile, the prevalent cautious mood around the equity markets and a softer US Treasury bond yields might help limit deeper losses for the non-yielding yellow metal. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through selling before placing fresh bearish bets.

It will now be interesting to see if the commodity is able to attract any dip-buying at lower levels or the downtick sets the stage for an extension of the recent sharp corrective slide from record highs set earlier this month.

From a technical perspective, the commodity's inability to capitalize on last week's strong rebound from multi-week lows points to the emergence of some fresh selling. Hence, a subsequent slide back towards the $1900 mark now looks a distinct possibility.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1930.3
Today Daily Change -16.50
Today Daily Change % -0.85
Today daily open 1946.8
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1972.83
Daily SMA50 1859.41
Daily SMA100 1783.04
Daily SMA200 1664.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1955.49
Previous Daily Low 1924.52
Previous Weekly High 2049.96
Previous Weekly Low 1863.24
Previous Monthly High 1984.8
Previous Monthly Low 1757.7
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1943.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1936.35
Daily Pivot Point S1 1929.05
Daily Pivot Point S2 1911.3
Daily Pivot Point S3 1898.08
Daily Pivot Point R1 1960.02
Daily Pivot Point R2 1973.24
Daily Pivot Point R3 1990.99

 

 

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