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GBP/JPY attempts to return above 181.00 weighed by hopes of BoE cuts

  • The Pound is trading near recent lows weighed by weak UK Inflation data.
  • Investors are betting on BoE cuts in the first half of 2024.
  • The dovish BoJ stance is cushioning the Pound's reversal.


The Pound is trading within a narrow range, with upside attempts capped below 181.00 so fast, as the soft inflation levels seen on Wednesday have boosted speculation of BoE cuts.

The sharp decline in UK consumer prices, with the yearly CPI declining below 4% for the first time in two years, surprised investors and has raised hopes that the Bank of England might start easing its monetary policy in May.

From a wider perspective, the pair has been trading in a mixed and volatile way over the last two weeks. This has resulted in a triangle formation, with trendline support, right above 180.00, holding the pair right now.

This pattern has a bias to break lower, with the next targets at 178.34 and 176.25, although the Bearish BoJ outlook is cushioning the GBP´s bearish attempts.

On the upside, the pair should breach 182.35 to test a major resistance area at 184.35

GBP/JPY 4-hour chart

Technical levels to watch

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price 180.87
Today Daily Change -0.64
Today Daily Change % -0.35
Today daily open 181.51
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 184.24
Daily SMA50 184.18
Daily SMA100 183.77
Daily SMA200 178.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 183.34
Previous Daily Low 181.28
Previous Weekly High 184.33
Previous Weekly Low 178.35
Previous Monthly High 188.67
Previous Monthly Low 182.75
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 182.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 182.55
Daily Pivot Point S1 180.74
Daily Pivot Point S2 179.98
Daily Pivot Point S3 178.68
Daily Pivot Point R1 182.81
Daily Pivot Point R2 184.11
Daily Pivot Point R3 184.87

 

 

 

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