GBP: Holding steady into the budget – ING
|EUR/GBP is holding support near 0.8760–0.8770 ahead of the UK budget, with sterling’s upside constrained and some downside risk if the 2026 BoE easing cycle is under-priced, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
EUR/GBP finds support ahead of UK budget
"On Friday, we estimated that the risk premium – or where EUR/GBP and 10-year Gilts should be trading relative to typical financial variables – was at around 0.5% and 10bp, respectively. Our baseline going into Wednesday's budget is that sterling's upside is probably quite limited on a credible/tight budget and that there is some sterling downside on the view that the 2026 Bank of England easing cycle is under-priced."
"We favour EUR/GBP again finding support in the 0.8760/70 area pre-budget."
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.