GBP: Downside risks – ING
|EUR/GBP is trading back above 0.88 again after yesterday's release of surprisingly soft September unemployment data in the UK, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
Political noise could push EUR/GBP to new highs
"Even though there are widespread doubts about the quality of the Labour Force Survey data (this survey was briefly suspended in 2023 to reassess its quality), sterling has failed to reclaim its losses."
"A further negative today is news that PM Starmer could face a leadership challenge after the budget later this month. Even though Starmer's approval ratings are very poor, his removal would create some doubt about the future of Chancellor Rachel Reeves and add some risk premium to UK asset markets."
"GBP already has enough negative news from the tighter fiscal/looser monetary policy story to keep it weak. But political noise could push EUR/GBP to new highs for the year in the 0.8870/8900 area."
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.