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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Remains pressured towards 100-SMA, fortnight-old support

  • EUR/USD stays depressed after the first positive week in six.
  • Bearish MACD signals, failure to cross five-week-old resistance line keep sellers hopeful.
  • Short-term support line holds the key to further weakness, 200-SMA adds to the upside filters.

EUR/USD begins the trading week on a back foot around 1.1045, after snapping the five-week downtrend.

The major currency pair’s latest weakness takes clues from Thursday’s failure to cross a downward sloping resistance line from February, as well as bearish MACD signals.

However, the 100-SMA and a two-week-old rising trend line, respectively around 1.1030 and 1.0990, challenge short-term downside.

In a case where EUR/USD prices drop below 1.0990, the odds of witnessing the quote’s south-run towards the mid-month bottom surrounding 1.09000 can’t be ruled out.

Meanwhile, recovery moves will initially aim for the aforementioned resistance line, at 1.1105 by the press time.

Following that, the 200-SMA level of 1.1200 will be crucial to watch for the EUR/USD pair’s further upside momentum.

In a case where the pair rises past 1.1200, a horizontal area from early February, near 1.1270-80 will challenge the bulls.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels 

Overview
Today last price 1.1047
Today Daily Change -0.0004
Today Daily Change % -0.04%
Today daily open 1.1051
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1084
Daily SMA50 1.1241
Daily SMA100 1.1296
Daily SMA200 1.1532
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1119
Previous Daily Low 1.1003
Previous Weekly High 1.1138
Previous Weekly Low 1.0901
Previous Monthly High 1.1495
Previous Monthly Low 1.1106
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1047
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1075
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0997
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0942
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0881
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1112
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1173
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1228

 

 

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