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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: H&S pattern in formation sees downside below 142.30

  • A conclusion of H&S formation will bring a sheer downside move.
  • The 50-and 200-EMAs have turned flat which indicates a slowdown in upside momentum.
  • A bearish range shift by the RSI (14) will weaken the shared currency bulls.

The EUR/JPY pair is falling sharply after the conclusion of a short-lived pullback towards 143.50 in the Asian session. On a broader note, the pair is in a correction mode after failing to sustain around a multi-year high, recorded on Monday at 145.63.

The ongoing formation of a Head and Shoulder chart pattern on an hourly scale is claiming more weakness in the counter ahead. Usually, an H&S formation denotes a tad longer inventory distribution, which leads to a sheer downside after a breakdown.  

The cross has surrendered the support of the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 143.39 and is declining further towards 200-EMA at 142.83.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range and is expected to skid inside the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which will trigger a downside momentum.

A decisive break below Wednesday’s low at 142.30 will drag the cross towards September 7 low at 141.41, followed by September 2 high at 140.75.

Alternatively, a break above September 9 high at 144.73 will send the cross towards Monday’s high at 145.64. A breach of the latter will drive the asset in unchartered territory towards the round-level resistance at 147.00.

EUR/JPY hourly chart

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 143.17
Today Daily Change 0.52
Today Daily Change % 0.36
Today daily open 142.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 139.88
Daily SMA50 138.7
Daily SMA100 138.85
Daily SMA200 135.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 144.48
Previous Daily Low 142.3
Previous Weekly High 144.72
Previous Weekly Low 138.69
Previous Monthly High 139.73
Previous Monthly Low 133.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 143.13
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 143.65
Daily Pivot Point S1 141.8
Daily Pivot Point S2 140.96
Daily Pivot Point S3 139.62
Daily Pivot Point R1 143.99
Daily Pivot Point R2 145.33
Daily Pivot Point R3 146.17

 

 

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