Bitcoin is more likely to halve than double in 2022 – Deutsche Bank
|Here are the results of Deutsche Bank’s special 2022 global market survey conducted from December 6-9 2021. It is worth noting that respondents believe that Bitcoin is more likely to halve than double next year.
What will the S&P 500 return in 2022?
“S&P 500 expectations were moderate, an average return of +4.2% in 2022 would be the third-worst of the last decade, where the average return has been +14.6% a year if you include YTD numbers for 2021. 19% thought a negative return.”
When will the Fed end taper?
“More than 80% of respondents expect the Fed’s taper to end in H1 '22. A non-trivial amount of you (6%) think we’re set to have QE through the whole of the year.”
How many bps will the Fed hike in 2022?
“With the taper potentially out of the way, a solid majority expects two Fed rate hikes next year. This is a bit shy of market pricing, which has around 2.7 hikes.”
When will the next US recession occur?
“A majority (64%) expect the next US recession by 2024. Only 4% think we'll have one next year although we had a high number of don't knows.”
In 2022, Bitcoin is more likely to:
“62% of respondents think Bitcoin is more likely to halve than double. Unsurprisingly, the odds placed on Bitcoin halving increases in line with respondent's age. 56% of under 35s think its more likely to double, only 26% of over 55s share that opinion.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.