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AUD/USD jumps to 0.7000 neighbourhood, multi-day high amid weaker USD/risk-on impulse

  • AUD/USD gains strong positive traction on Monday and is supported by a combination of factors.
  • Sliding US bond yields undermine the USD and offer support to the aussie amid the risk-on impulse.
  • Hawkish Fed expectations could limit losses for the USD ahead of the US CPI report on Wednesday.

The AUD/USD pair climbs to a four-day high during the early North American session, with bulls now eyeing a move towards reclaiming the 0.7000 psychological mark.

The US dollar meets with a fresh supply on the first day of a new week and erodes a part of Friday's post-NFP strong gains, which, in turn, acts as a tailwind for the AUD/USD pair. The USD weakness could be attributed to a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields. Apart from this, the risk-on impulse further seems to undermine the safe-haven greenback and benefit the risk-sensitive aussie.

That said, growing worries about a global economic downturn, along with the US-China tensions over Taiwan, could keep a lid on any optimistic move in the markets. Furthermore, speculations for a larger Fed rate hike move in September should act as a tailwind for the US bond yields and lend support to the USD. This, in turn, could cap any meaningful upside for the AUD/USD pair, at least for now.

Investors might also prefer to move on the sidelines ahead of the latest US consumer inflation figures, scheduled for release on Wednesday. Against the backdrop of the upbeat US monthly jobs report, a stronger CPI print would reaffirm hawkish Fed expectations and provide a fresh lift to the USD. The fundamental backdrop warrants caution before placing aggressive bullish bets around the AUD/USD pair.

In the meantime, the US bond yields would play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics amid absent relevant market-moving economic releases on Monday. Apart from this, traders would take cues from the broader market risk sentiment to grab short-term opportunities around the AUD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

AUD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6983
Today Daily Change 0.0082
Today Daily Change % 1.19
Today daily open 0.6901
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6894
Daily SMA50 0.6955
Daily SMA100 0.7106
Daily SMA200 0.7161
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.6979
Previous Daily Low 0.6869
Previous Weekly High 0.7048
Previous Weekly Low 0.6869
Previous Monthly High 0.7033
Previous Monthly Low 0.668
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6911
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6937
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6854
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6807
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6745
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6963
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.7026
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.7073

 

 

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