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Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

  • Solana price is nearing the upper trendline of a falling wedge pattern on Monday, breakout suggests a rally ahead.
  • US-listed spot Solana ETFs have recorded weekly net inflows since October 31, bringing total AUM to nearly $1 billion.
  • The technical outlook favors an upside breakout, with a target above $160.

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) remained firm, pushing total assets under management (AUM) to nearly $1 billion since launch. Moreover, the technical outlook suggests a potential upside breakout, with bulls aiming for levels above $160.

Institutional investors keep accumulating SOL

The institutional demand for SOL continues to grow since its launch on October 28. SoSoValue data shows that spot Solana ETFs have recorded positive net inflows every week since their launch, with total net assets reaching $907.18 million on Monday. This persistent ETF inflow, despite recent price consolidation, suggests institutions are buying dips rather than exiting positions, signaling a bullish outlook for SOL.

Total SOL spot ETF net inflow weekly chart Source: SoSoValue

On the derivatives side, CoinGlass’s long-to-short ratio for SOL reads 1.07, the highest level in over a month. The ratio above one suggests bullish sentiment in the market, as traders are betting on the asset price to rally.

Solana’s long-to-ratio chart. Source: Coinglass

Solana Price Forecast: SOL on the verge of a breakout

Solana’s price has been trading within a falling wedge pattern (formed by connecting multiple highs and lows with two trendlines since early October). At the time of writing on Monday, SOL nears the upper trendline boundary of this pattern. 

If SOL breaks above the pattern, it could extend the rally toward the next daily resistance at $160.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 42, pointing upward toward the neutral level of 50, indicating fading bearish momentum. For the bullish momentum to be sustained, the RSI must move above the neutral level.

SOL/USDT daily chart 

However, if SOL faces a correction, it could extend the decline toward the November 21 low of $121.66.

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