Bitcoin breaks above 21 EMA resistance in 5 waves
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) made a bullish bounce at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. It was followed by a bullish breakout above the 21 ema resistance zone.
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But price action still faces hefty resistance (red box) from the previous top and long-term moving averages.
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Price action managed to break above the resistance trend line (dotted orange) during the weekend.
This article analyses the expected Elliott Wave and FIbonacci patterns on the Bitcoin 4 hour and 1 hour charts.
Price charts and technical analysis
The BTC/USD made a strong bullish reversal after testing the previous bottom and Fibonacci retracement levels:
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The bullish reversal is probably part of a ABC (green) wave or even a potential 123.
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Price action managed to break above the resistance trend line (dotted orange) during the weekend.
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But price action still faces hefty resistance (red box) from the previous top and long-term moving averages.
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A bearish bounce (orange arrows) could retest the support again where a bullish bounce is expected (green arrows).
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A bullish breakout (blue arrow) could indicate an immediate push up. A bull flag pattern (grey arrows) could indicate even more upside (purple arrow).
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A break below the support line (green) places it on hold (orange circle) and a break below the bottom invalidates it (red circle).
On the 1 hour chart, price action is showing strong bullish momentum:
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A 5 wave pattern (black 1-5) seems to be visible.
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The bullish 5 waves could complete a wave 1 (blue).
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A bearish ABC (black) could indicate a wave 2 (blue).
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The Fibonacci retracement levels of wave 2 could act as support (blue arrows).
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Especially the support zone (green box) could indicate a bounce due to the inverted head and shoulders pattern.
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All Fibonacci levels are potentially support levels.
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A break below the 88.6% Fib makes it less likely (orange circle) whereas a break below the bottom invalidates it (red circle).
The analysis has been done with the ecs.SWAT method and ebook.
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