Analysis

USD/JPY breaks below uptrend support on Trump's call-off of the Summit with Kim - levels

  • President Trump canceled the Summit planned with North Korean Leader Kim.
  • The news triggered flows to the safe haven yen and lower levels are eyed on USD/JPY.

US President Donald Trump canceled the June 12th Summit planned with North Korean Leader Kim Jong-un. In the past week, there has been some bad blood between the countries. John Bolton's call to apply the Libya model to North Korea angered the regime. Also, the military drill planned by South Korea and the US angered them and Kim called off a coordination meeting.

While the US and South Korea canceled the drill, tensions remained high. North Korea also made a gesture of destroying its nuclear testing facility. Nevertheless, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said the US made no concessions and North Korea called Vice President Mike Pense an "idiot".

The signs were on the wall but the news that Trump canceled the Summit still sent shockwaves and triggered safe haven flows into the Japanese Yen, even though the trouble is close to home. The missiles North Korea tested flew over Japan.

USD/JPY technical picture - getting worse

The USD/JPY is trading around 109.30, extending the drops seen earlier. On its way down, the pair confirmed the break outside the uptrend channel (black lines on the chart). The RSI, which was flirting with the overbought territory, was already sliding and it now around 50. However, Momentum is still positive. 

The next line of support is at 108.60, which was a low point on the way up in early May. Further down, the 200-day Simple Moving Average awaits at 108.10. It is followed closely by 107.60 which was a swing high in April. 

Looking up, the pair faces resistance at the now broken line of 109.50, which was a low point this week. The round 110.00 level is next, followed by 110.50.

 

 

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