Analysis

$TNX (10 Year Yields) Short-term Elliott Wave Analysis

Short term Elliott wave count suggests that pullback to 1.542 at 9/28 ended wave X. The rally from there looks to be unfolding as a 5 wave move and wave ((a)) is proposed complete at 1.801 . Wave ((b)) pull back is currently in progress to correct the cycle from 9/28 low (1.542) before the yields resume higher. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback and expect to see buyers appearing in proposed wave ((b)) pull back in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 9/28 low (1.542) stays intact. Buying the 10 year yields is equivalent to selling 10 year notes ($ZN).

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