Analysis

Stocks rallied to new short-term highs against bonds

Confirming Evidence of a continued rally:

  • The ECRI Weekly Leading Index (WLI) picked up again last week and continues to rebound. It is now positive year over year.

  • Stocks rallied to new short-term highs against bonds.

  • US stocks are in a positive trend relative to Gold (intermediate).

  • The Yen and the Dollar weakened last week.

  • The VIX made a short-term low.

  • Transports broke above resistance.

Non-Confirming evidence of a continued rally:

  • The ECRI four week average is still negative year over year.

  • The Total World Stock Market remains in a negative trend relative to bonds(intermediate).

  • Lumber has been weak and is continuing to drop significantly.

  • Small Caps are below their December low relative to Large Caps.

  • Copper failed to break to new short-term highs.

  • Treasury yields remain in a strong negative trend.

  • The Dollar remains in a positive trend.

  • Quality remains a strong factor.

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