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Analysis

Raid imminent on deliverable COMEX physical [Video]

Andrew Maguire believes paper market footprints leading into October options expiry, signal an imminent raid on deliverable physical COMEX gold and silver.

Familiar paper market conditions

According to Andrew Maguire, the paper markets are evidencing footprints very similar to those observed leading up to the COMEX’s unravelling on March 23rd.

Andrew Maguire reports similar tonnage size spot index buying across both the Gold and Silver Futures markets. The precious metals expert reports buying coming in from a $400 and $10 higher step in GC and SI, respectively. Buying that echoes the trends witnessed in March, before huge, undeliverable physical demand broke the EFP conduit. 

Considering the expiring October contract is backwardated by up to $6, the Gold Futures price is cheaper than the 10 times larger delivery market in London. Andrew Maguire shares word of wholesalers locking in the spot index demand for physical delivery. 

Footprints of physical delivery demand

Andrew Maguire has received reliable information that two very large first-tier trading banks are targeting COMEX bars for delivery.

As further evidence, Andrew Maguire points to the unusual levels of open interest and spot index buying in October. The upcoming October options expiry has double the typical open interest with 60,000 contracts, up from the average 30,000. 

Additionally, Andrew Maguire cites an additional 100 tonnes of positions held by COMEX paper longs in the October contract. With specs who would normally close their positions into a gamed price rinse, choosing instead to stand for delivery. 

COMEX delivery tested

With no tonnage size for physical gold available in the global wholesale market, Andrew Maguire believes wholesalers are calling the COMEX on their claim that they have bullion to deliver. 

Andrew Maguire’s parting thought

“Despite what you see in the short term charts, this is a very, very bullish setup.”

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