Patterns: AUD/CAD, NZD/CHF
|AUD/CAD 1H Chart: Pressured by 55-hour SMA
The Australian Dollar was driven by strong downside momentum against its Canadian counterpart for four weeks and thus fell by 4.94%. This bearish sentiment allayed considerably mid-April when the rate entered a short-term period of consolidation.
This movement sideways resulted in a breakout of the prevailing steep channel down. The pair has since remained stable, fluctuating around the 55-, 100– and 200-hour SMAs.
It seems that the Aussie was trying to edge higher during the previous trading sessions, but halted under the bearish pressure of the 55-hour SMA. This line could push the rate lower today, but a decline should not surpass its 2018 low located at 0.9720.
Meanwhile, it is expected that the Aussie gains enough momentum to push through all SMAs this week and advance even further. A probable near-term target is the 38.20% Fibonacci retracement and the weekly R1 near 0.9870, while the pair should approach the 50.0% Fibo at 0.9960 in the medium term.
NZD/CHF 1H Chart: Kiwi likely to retrace from channel
The New Zealand continued to extend its gains against the Swiss Franc during the first part of April. It peaked near the 0.7125 mark on April 13 prior to pushing back down to 0.6950 where the breached senior channel and a junior one are situated.
Meanwhile, technical indicators are located in the oversold territory. This suggests that the prevailing bearish sentiment could allay, thus allowing the pair to retrace from the aforementioned two channels.
This surge might not be steep, given that several strong resistance clusters are limiting the pair up until the 0.71 mark, including the 100– and 200-hour SMAs and the weekly PP circa 0.70.
In terms of upside potential, the New Zealand Dollar should try approaching the upper boundary of the junior channel near 0.72 during the following week.
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