Analysis

Gold - Expecting fresh sellers

Gold, in its 2-hour chart, shows the advance of a five-wave sequence corresponding to a wave (c) of Minuette degree labeled in blue.

On the chart, we observe its fifth internal wave labeled in green in progress, in which the price action may reach a new high, which could be in the range between $1,640 and $1,670 per ounce.

The ascending channel observed in the fifth wave, lead us to conclude that a thrust over the upper-line of the channel would imply the end of the short-term upward cycle.

A short position will activate if the price rises over the upper line of the ascending channel and closes below $1,644.32 per ounce. In our conservative scenario, we anticipate a decline to $1,596.37 per ounce.

If the price action reinforces its bearish momentum, Gold could drop till $1,558.15, and even drop until $1,512.40 per ounce.

The level that invalidates our bearish scenario locates at $1,686.60. Finally, considering that the third wave is extended, if the price starts dropping before the previous high, is it possible that the price turns negative below the $1,640 zone.

Trading Plan Summary

  • Entry Level: $1,644,32

  • Protective Stop: $1,686.60

  • 1st Profit Target: $1,596.37

  • 2nd Profit Target: $1,558.15

  • 3rd Profit Target: $1,512.40

 


 

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