Analysis

GBPUSD: Neutral – Prefer to sell rallies

GBPUSD: 1.2937

Cable has had a choppy, rangebound session (1.2931/1.3015) leaving the outlook unchanged, but is finishing towards its lows, not helped by the weak Q1 GDP reading of -0.2% (exp +0.3%).

The momentum indicators are mixed/neutral on Friday, possibly with a mildly negative tone, and back below the session low would allow a move back to the good band of support between 1.2890/1.2910, below which could return to the distant 16 May low of 1.2865.

Back above 1.3000, and the session high of 1.3015, would find strong resistance in the 1.3035/45 area, capped by last Thursday’s, 8-month high of 1.3047, but above which could run towards strong offers at 1.3075, and then further out, towards the long descending term trend resistance at around 1.3120. A break of this looks important and could lead to a quick run towards 1.3270 although that remains to be seen.

As with yesterday, a neutral stance is required today although I mildly prefer to trade from the short side, looking to sell rallies towards 1.3000, with a SL placed above 1.3050.

24 Hour: Neutral – Prefer to sell rallies   Medium Term:  Neutral  
Resistance    Support  
1.3120 Descending trend resistance 1.2931 Session low
1.3075 (23.6% of 1.7191/1.1821) 1.2914 19 May low
1.3047 18 May high 1.2900 Minor
1.3033 23 May high 1.2888 18 May low
1.3014 Session high 1.2965 16 May low

 

 

Interested in GBPUSD technicals? Check out the key levels

 

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