Analysis

GBPUSD: minor levels at 1.4130 and 1.4170

GBPUSD: 1.4100

Cable, initially underpinned by some solid UK Retail Sales data (+ 0.8% vs 0.4% exp), then reached a high of 1.4218 following the BOE Meeting, before reversing lower and closing the day at 1.4100.

1 hour/4 hour indicators: Turning higher

Daily Indicators:  Turning higher.Weekly Indicators:  Possible topping formation.

Preferred Strategy:  Having reached the major descending trend resistance at 1.4220, which has so far been rejected, this will be the major resistance to watch for now, but ahead of which , minor levels will be at 1.4130 and 1.4170. Beyond 1.4220 would target 1.4250/70 although that remains for another day I suspect, but above there would head back to the 2018 high at 1.4345.

On the downside, support will be seen at minor levels, at 1.4075 and at 1.4025, and while the 4 hour charts look slightly heavy a more sustained test of the support may lie ahead. Further out though, the dailies still look positive, and buying dips may be the medium term trade.

Resistance   Support  
1.4278 2 Feb high 1.4100 (23.6% of 1.3711/1.4218)
1.4218 Descending trend resistance/Session high 1.4075 Session low
1.4200 Minor 1.4050 Minor
1.4170 Minor 1.4025 (38.2% of 1.3711/1.4150)
1.4130 Minor 1.3995 21 Mar low

 

Economic data highlights will include:

BOE Quarterly Bulletin

 

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