Analysis

EURUSD: ZEW is the main focus today

EURUSD: 1.1766

€/Usd has traded a little higher in a tight session for much of Monday (1.1763/1.1811) before giving up the gains late in the day, while waiting on the upcoming FOMC/ ECB meetings, with much of the action coming through the crosses, where EurJpy and EurGbp were prominent drivers. As before,  the 4 hour/daily momentum indicators are mixed and a neutral stance is required as we head towards the Fed and ECB Meetings, due Wed/Thur.

1 hour/4 hour indicators: Turning higher

Daily Indicators: Turning lower

Weekly Indicators:  Neutral

Preferred Strategy:  The short term momentum indicators look mixed and I remain fairly neutral although the daily charts do appear to be turning a little lower and may be hinting of further dollar strength ahead. The ZEW is the main focus today and the 4 hour charts look mildly constructive, so look for a range of 1.1740/1.1820 to cover it today.

Resistance   Support  
1.1900 Minor 1.1763 Session low
1.1877 4 Dec high 1.1755 Daily Kijun
1.1847 6 Dec high 1.1730 8 Dec low
1.1811 Session high 1.1707 (61.8% of 1.1553/1.1943)/ Rising trend support
1.1800 100 DMA 1.1650 (76.4% of 1.1553/1.1943)

 

Economic data highlights will include:

German/EU ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey – Dec, US NFIB Business Optimism Index, PPI – Nov, API Weekly Crude Oil Stock Inventory

 

Interested in EURUSD technicals? Check out the key levels

 

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