EURUSD Stalls and Falls from 12400
|EURUSD, H1
Draghi: Policy adjustments have to be measures and predictable. The central bank president said that adjustments will “proceed at a measures pace that is most appropriate for inflation convergence to consolidate, taking into account continued uncertainty about the size of the output gap and the responsiveness of wages to slack”. He added that the ECB currently sees “inflation converging towards our aim over the medium term, and we are more confident than in the past that this convergence will come to pass”. At the same time, Draghi stressed that the central bank will “need to see further evidence that inflation dynamics are moving in the right direction” and that the condition to bring net asset purchases to an end is a “sustained adjustment in the path of inflation towards” the central bank’s inflation aim. “Developments in foreign exchange markets and wider financial markets” as well as risks from the global environment “and in particular the possible spillovers of the new trade measures announced by the U.S. administration” are the main risk factors. So while the ECB signaled a slow move towards an end to net asset purchases with the change in guidance last week, Draghi is already introducing caveats designed to price in a move too quickly.
EURUSD which had earlier rejected 1.2400 rolled down through the Daily pivot to touch 1.2360 as the Euro weakened and the dollar caught a bid. Next support is the 1.2330-20 zone from yesterday with initial resistance at 1.2375-80.
There's more! Access all our latest analyses and other great content by subscribing to the HotForex Youtube channel. You can also talk to our experts live by registering for one of our free webinars!
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.