Analysis

EURUSD: Prefer to sell rallies

EURUSD: 1.1146

EurUsd has been under pressure as the dollar continues its recovery following the FOMC decision, assisted by today’s firm US data, with the pair finishing the session just above the Thursday lows of 1.1131.

With the 4 hour/daily momentum indicators looking heavy further losses look likely, which could see a decline to 1.1100/10 and possibly to 1.1075 and 1.1015.

On the topside, minor resistance will be seen at 1.1165 and 1.1200 although I don’t think we are heading back up here today. If wrong, look for a move back to the Thursday high of 1.1228.

While the dailies point lower, selling rallies towards 1.1200, with a SL placed above 1.1230 seems to be the plan.

The EU May inflation figure and the US May housing starts and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index are data risks for Friday.

24 Hour: Prefer to sell rallies   Medium Term: Mildly Bearish  
Resistance   Support  
1.1295 14 June high 1.1131 Session low
1.1250 Minor 1.1108 30 May low
1.1223/28 200 HMA /Session high 1.1075 18 May low
1.1200 Minor 1.1067 (23.6% of 1.0340/1.1295)
1.1165 Minor 1.1015 (38.2% of 1.0570/1.1295)


Economic data highlights will include:

EU CPI, US Building Permits, Housing Starts, Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, Labor Market Conditions Index, Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count

 

Interested in EURUSD technicals? Check out the key levels

 

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