Analysis

EUR/USD bearish ABC pattern within bullish wave B

  • EUR/USD is building a correction with lower highs and higher lows. The EUR/USD support and resistance levels are key for determining the next price swing

  • A bullish breakout above the resistance confirms a completed ABC. But a bearish breakout below the support  indicates that the waves B and C will shift forward

  • The bulls are expected to keep control, either after the breakout or after a bounce at the Fibonacci retracement levels.

The  EUR/USD is building a correction with lower highs and higher lows. Price action seems to be in a bearish ABC pattern within a bullish wave B. What are the key levels to consider?

Price Charts and Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD support (blue line) and resistance (red line) levels are key for determining the next price swing. A bullish breakout above the resistance indicates a completed bearish ABC (red) within wave B (purple) and a continuation higher within the wave C (purple). The targets are the Fibonacci levels although the main Fib target is confluence of the -61.8% Fib and 78.6% Fib at 1.1925. A bearish breakout indicates a downside move towards the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave B (purple). This remains valid as long as price remains above the 100% Fibonacci level.

The EUR/USD 1 hour chart is showing the current indecisiveness well. A bullish breakout above the resistance (red box) confirms a completed ABC (red). But a bearish breakout below the support (blue box) indicates that the waves B and C will shift forward (red arrows). The bulls are expected to keep control, either after the breakout or after a bounce at the Fibonacci retracement levels.


The analysis has been done with the ecs.SWAT method and ebook.

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