Daily technical and trading outlook – USD/JPY
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Last Update At 31 Jul 2020 00:29GMT
Trend Daily Chart
Sideways
Daily Indicators
Falling
21 HR EMA
104.88
55 HR EMA
105.04
Trend Hourly Chart
Down
Hourly Indicators
Bullish convergences
13 HR RSI
27
14 HR DMI
-ve
Daily Analysis
One more fall b4 up
Resistance
105.68 - Tue's high
105.37 - Tue's NY high
104.96 - Tue's low (now res)
Support
104.40 - 100% proj. of 109.84-106.08 fm 108.16
104.11 - Mar 11 low
103.23 - Mar 10 low
USD/JPY - 104.54... Dlr moved narrowly y'day in Asia abv Wed's 104.78 low n gained to 105.29 in Europe on cross-selling in yen b4 falling to a 4-1/2 month trough at 104.69 near NY closing on usd's broad-based weakness.
On the bigger picture, dlr's fall fm 118.66 (Dec 2016) to 2019 low at 104. 46 (Sep) confirms early uptrend fm 2016 29-month bottom at 99.00 has hit a top there. Despite hitting a 3-1/2 year bottom of 101.19 in Mar on risk-off trades due to coronavirus pandemic, dlr's rally to 111.71 due to broad-based usd's strength signals low has been seen. Although price has staged a strong rebound after retreating to a 7-week low at 105.99 in May, dlr's drop to 106.08 (Jun), then last Fri's break below 105.99 confirms decline fm 111.71 to retrace MT rise fm 101.19 would head twd 104.40, 'bullish convergences' on daily indicators may keep price abv 103.20 (80.9% r). Only abv 106.65 risks 107.53, 108.16.
Today, although y'day's break below Wed's 4-month trough at 104.78 signals MT erratic downtrend remains in progress n marginal weakness is seen, bullish convergences on hourly indicators would keep price abv 104.11 n yield correction. Only abv 104.96 indicates temp. bottom is made, risk 105.29/37.
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