Analysis

Cycle Trading: Major Opportunity for the Miners

Last  Tuesday we took a look at the Miners.

 

We discussed how the consolidation pattern following the multi week sell off reminded me of a chart from 2011.

 

I saw similarities between the how the current sell off in the Miners reminded me of the dollar's multi week sell off from 2011.  After a multi week consolidation the dollar built up a lot of energy that resulted in a powerful trending move.  

 

And the recent consolidation of the Miners also built up energy and its release has begun a powerful move.  After such a powerful initial thrust we can expect some consolidation at some point.  However, not only do I think that the Miners are rallying out of a daily and intermediate cycle low, but I believe that May 2nd will turn out to be the lowest point of the year,  which is something that I plan on discussing in more depth in the Weekend Report.

 

In hindsight, the perfect time to load up would have been last Wednesday.  However, I am going to suggest that you to not let the perfect get in the way of the good enough.  If I am correct that May 2nd will be the lowest point of the year for the Miners, then this rally will have many weeks to go.  And using a chart of the Miners from 2016 it is easily seen that entering after a couple of days after the rally started ended up being good enough.

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