Analysis

Cycle Trading: Bearish Signs For Oil

Oil formed a bearish reversal on Thursday.



Thursday was day 25 for the daily oil cycle, placing oil 5 days shy of its timing band for a daily cycle low.  The are bearish divergences developing on the oscillators, which often precede a cycle decline. The new high on day 25 assures us of a right translated daily cycle formation.  Thursday's bearish reversal does ease the parameters for forming a daily swing high.  A break below 60.14 will form a daily swing high.  Then a close below the daily cycle trend line will confirm the daily cycle decline.  Currently oil is in a daily uptrend.  If a swing low forms above the lower daily cycle band then oil would remain in its daily uptrend and trigger a cycle band buy signal.

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