Analysis

AUD/USD Outlook: Daily cloud base continues to limit post-flash crash recovery

AUDUSD

The Australian dollar faces strong headwinds from daily cloud base (0.7207) and eases on Monday after repeated failure to penetrate daily cloud. Bearish divergence on daily slow stochastic and significantly weaker than expected China's trade data add to negative signals. Converged 55/100SMA's (0.7182) which held last Friday's action are under strong pressure, with sustained break lower to generate fresh bearish signal. Deeper pullback could extend towards pivotal supports at 0.7118/10 zone (10/20SMA's which formed bull-cross / Fibo 23.6% of 0.6706/0.7235). Dips should find ground here to keep bullish near-term structure off 0.6706 (03 Jan post flash crash low) for renewed attack at daily cloud base.

Res: 0.7207; 0.7235; 0.7263; 0.7332
Sup: 0.7180; 0.7156; 0.7110; 0.7077

 

Interested in AUDUSD technicals? Check out the key levels

 

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