USD/CAD: Loonie outperformance to continue after a BoC hawkish hold – TDS
|The Bank of Canada (BoC) held the overnight rate at 0.25% in January, in line with consensus. The CAD weakened following the decision. That said, a hawkish hold alongside what economists at TD Securities think will be a bit of a relief risk rally still leaves the loonie better placed for now.
Rate hikes will be coming soon
“The Bank of Canada held the overnight rate at 0.25% in January, in line with consensus, although markets were pricing a much higher probability of liftoff. The Bank also provided strong signal for a March hike by noting that economic slack has been absorbed.”
“We look for the Bank to hike by 25 bps at its next meeting.”
“We think it is difficult to fade the CAD with a central bank set to hike. That said, with how the curve is priced, we are cognisant that any additional gains will eventually be grounds for lightening up on longs.”
“Near-term, we are biased to a relief rally following a terrible start in equities this year. That should benefit the CAD.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.