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Sell EUR/GBP at 0.8695 – Westpac

Analysts at Westpac are recommending to sell EUR/GBP cross at 0.8695 for the target price of 0.8375, while maintaining a stop loss of 0.8800.

Key Quotes

Rationale:

  • UK election should relieve sudden no deal Brexit concerns and raise potential of breaking the Brexit impasse
  • Parties are likely to adopt post election expansionary mandates to allow for investment, spending and growth
  • The election will be an effective poll on current negotiated deal against remaining and/or second referendum
  • Eurozone is likely to receive further weak data in coming week
  • EU/Eurozone will look to approve fiscally prudent National budget proposals in November rather than push for any expansion.”

Risks:

  • Amendments to the Election Bill could delay the process of achieving a swift election date
  • Adopting a lowering of the voting age to 16 and including EU nationals could cause the Election Bill to be pulled
  • Polling reports could shift to suggest a further inconclusive result and another ineffective minority Government
  • EU data upside surprises
  • EU nations outline fiscally expansionary or structural reform policies.”

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