Polish Zloty to weaken again during 2024 – Commerzbank
|The Polish Zloty (PLN) has been outperforming in recent months because of euphoria about the new Donald Tusk government implementing policy reforms and unlocking EU funds. However, economists at Commerzbank expect PLN to come under bearish pressure again.
Zloty to depreciate gradually over 2024-25
The risks are increasing that policy will be stuck until the presidential election of 2025. We may witness frequent no-confidence votes against the government and so on. The electorate may get frustrated from waiting for new policies. Hence, a return to power of opposition PiS always remains a possibility. New PM Donald Tusk scored a symbolic victory when the EU unlocked some frozen funds after his election. But, such easy wins are unlikely, going forward.
This heightened political risk does not seem to be priced into the Zloty’s valuation, because of which we see the Zloty depreciating gradually over 2024-25.
Source: Commerzbank Research
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.