NZD: Inflation print may keep RBNZ tightening bets alive – ING
|New Zealand’s fourth-quarter CPI is expected to hold at 3.0% year-on-year, slightly above the RBNZ’s projection and potentially reinforcing hawkish speculation, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
NZD supported, preference seen in crosses
"In New Zealand, CPI data for 4Q is released tonight. Expectations are for a 3.0% YoY unchanged headline print, and while our model does suggest some downside risks, we must admit that consensus has had a strong track record for this specific release in the past couple of years."
"That would be 0.3% above the RBNZ projection and a hawkish signal. As usual, non-tradable inflation remains closely watched too and is expected to rise 0.5% QoQ vs the central bank’s 0.4% projection."
"A consensus print should keep hawkish speculation in the NZD swap curve alive and NZD supported. We prefer NZD in the crosses rather than versus USD in the near term."
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.