Japan is in a technical recession, not a good outlook for the Yen – Commerzbank
|Weak fourth quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures in Japan complicate the monetary policy outlook for the BoJ. Economists at Commerzbank analyze the implications for the Yen.
Japanese growth figures disappoint
Instead of slightly positive growth compared to the third quarter, the economy contracted again. This means that Japan has slipped into a technical recession in the second half of 2023, as the third quarter also saw negative growth, albeit on a much larger scale. On top of that, the Q3 numbers were revised down a bit more.
As the global economy weakens, the Japanese economy seems to also suffer, except that the BoJ now has much less room to cut interest rates than other central banks. This is not a good outlook for the Yen.
And the Japanese figures underscore another fact: the US economy is out of competition at the moment, i.e. we are seeing a significant slowdown in economic growth in almost all other countries, with US growth being the main standout. That, in turn, is a much better outlook for the US Dollar.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.