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GBP/USD keeps the red around 1.2100 as UK Aug Manufacturing PMI hits seven-year lows

The UK manufacturing sector activity downturn deepened further in the month of August, the latest survey report from IHS Markit showed this Monday. 

The seasonally adjusted IHS Markit/CIPS UK Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) plunged to seven-year lows of 47.4 in August versus 48.4 expected and six-and-half-year lows of 48.0 seen in July.

Key Points:                

New orders contract at fastest pace in over seven years.

Business confidence falls to series-record low.

Rob Dobson, Director at IHS Markit, commented on the survey:

“High levels of economic and political uncertainty alongside ongoing global trade tensions stifled the performance of UK manufacturers in August. Business conditions deteriorated to the greatest extent in seven years, as companies scaled back production in response to the steepest drop in new order intakes since mid2012.

Based on its historical relationship against official ONS data, the latest PMI Output Index is consistent with a quarterly pace of contraction close to 2%. The outlook also weakened as the multiple headwinds buffeting the sector saw business optimism slump to a series-record low.”

FX Implications:

The awful UK Manufacturing sector activity numbers add to the bearish sentiment around the pound. The Cable slipped to nine-day lows of 1.2094 after Brexit uncertainty heightened on rising no-deal Brexit fears and risks of a general election.

Leading Conservative Party rebel David Gauke said he doesn’t think that MPs would be able to block a no-deal Brexit via legislation. Meanwhile, PM Johnson threatened to oust Conservative rebels of their party membership should they fail to back him in a key Brexit vote on Tuesday.

GBP/USD Levels to consider:

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2101
Today Daily Change -0.0063
Today Daily Change % -0.52
Today daily open 1.2164
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2153
Daily SMA50 1.235
Daily SMA100 1.2586
Daily SMA200 1.2765
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2226
Previous Daily Low 1.2139
Previous Weekly High 1.231
Previous Weekly Low 1.2139
Previous Monthly High 1.231
Previous Monthly Low 1.2015
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2172
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2193
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2127
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2089
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2039
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2214
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2264
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2302

 

 

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