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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Invalidates lower highs setup

  • EUR/USD has invalidated the bearish lower highs setup on the daily chart. 
  • The 4-hour chart suggests scope for a pullback before a potential rally to 1.12.

EUR/USD closed well above the Jan. 31 high of 1.1096 on Monday, invalidating the bearish lower highs setup on the daily chart. 

The pair has also found acceptance above the widely-tracked 200-day average, currently at 1.1098. 

So, the path of least resistance is to the higher side. Even so, a re-test of Monday's high of 1.1185 may be preceded by a pullback, as the 4-hour chart is now reporting a bearish divergence of the relative strength index. 

Also, the pair has produced a bearish inside bar candlestick pattern on the 4-hour chart, a sign of buyer exhaustion. 

If the 200-day average support at 1.1095 fails to hold, the focus would shift to 1.1066 (Dec. 12 low). Alternatively, a strong bounce from the 200-day average will likely recharge engines for a more sustained rise toward 1.12.

At press time, EUR/USD is trading largely unchanged on the day at 1.1135. 

Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1135
Today Daily Change -0.0002
Today Daily Change % -0.02
Today daily open 1.1136
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0911
Daily SMA50 1.1032
Daily SMA100 1.1057
Daily SMA200 1.1099
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1185
Previous Daily Low 1.1027
Previous Weekly High 1.1053
Previous Weekly Low 1.0805
Previous Monthly High 1.1089
Previous Monthly Low 1.0778
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1125
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1087
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1047
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0958
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0888
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1205
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1274
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1363

 

 

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