EUR and GBP to weaken modestly against the USD in 2024 – HSBC
|Economists at HSBC see modest downside risks for the Euro (EUR) and the Pound Sterling (GBP).
The ECB and BoE are likely to pivot more explicitly towards policy easing in the months ahead
We expect the start of the rate-cut cycles in 2024 to be mildly negative for both EUR and GBP, even if markets have currently priced in rate cuts, as they had been in previous cycles.
We expect the first rate cut from the Fed and the ECB in June, while August is more likely for the BoE. Neither the ECB nor the BoE is likely to deliver idiosyncratic rate cuts, but both could end up with a more dovish cycle than the Fed, weighing on their currencies.
At the same time, the global economy is expected to slow this year, so risk sentiment is unlikely to improve significantly. As such, support for both currencies is set to be limited.
Given the circumstances, we expect both the EUR and GBP to weaken modestly against the USD in 2024.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.