VIX at an all-time low
|The news did not make massive headlines. The VIX, the US volatility index which is also known as the “Fear Index”, just collapsed to an all-time low below 10. We recall that the 20-year average is above 20 for the index. A few weeks ago, Janet Yellen, Fed Chairman, warned markets about asset valuation which she considers as too high. Fed definitely believes that stocks markets are in a bubble. This is ironic as the Fed largely participated to underpin asset prices with free money.
While the volatility is at an all-time low, stocks prices are at an all-time high. There is then the potential relation between low volatility and high stock prices which could drive investors towards a sell-off. Markets are now in a pausing mode certainly fearing that consequence. However, stocks markets are not losing steam and may further head higher.
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All eyes are on Fed now which balance sheet reduction should be discussed in November. Currency-wise the dollar is now trading at 14-month low on recent disappointment of Trump expected fiscal policies and Fed failing to fully deliver what was expected.
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