Analysis

USDCHF: Prefer to sell rallies

USDCHF: 0.9731

US$Chf headed to a new 2017 low of 0.9691 on Monday before a bounce, to finish at 0.9740.

The daily momentum indicators are still pointing sharply lower and further downside momentum seems highly likely in the days ahead although the 4 hour charts appear to be recovering after having become oversold, so further short term consolidation may be needed on Tuesday.

If we do head lower, then back below the long-term rising trend line at 0.9705 would then open the way back to the session low and then to 0.9675 and to 0.9600/40, below which could see a return to the 9 Nov low at 0.9550.

On the topside, the initial, minor resistance will arrive at the session high of 0.9765 and then at 0.9785, above which could see a run back to 0.9800/10, which should be strong if we get there today and may present a decent sell opportunity although I doubt that we see it.

24 Hour: Prefer to sell rallies   Medium Term: Mildly Bearish  
Resistance   Support  
0.9845 (38.2% of 1.0100/0.9691) 0.9705 Rising trend support
0.9825 15 May high 0.9691 Session low
0.9804 19 May high 0.9675 Minor
0.9785 (23.6% of 1.0100/0.9691) 0.9640 Minor
0.9765 Session high 0.9600 Minor


Economic data highlights will include:

Trade Balance

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