Analysis

USDCHF: Prefer to sell rallies

USD/CHF: 0.9982

US$Chf remained heavy into the weekend but remained within a tight range of 0.9942/86

As with EurUsd, the 4 hour momentum indicators seem to be picking up some support while at the same time the dailies are pointing increasingly lower, so in the short term we may be in for some choppy sideways trade but the preference is to sell dollars into any rally back towards parity. On the downside, 0.9940 is currently providing minor support but if that is taken out it could be that we make our way towards the 200 DMA at 0.9910, below which could then head towards 0.9850/70, albeit not yet.. On the topside, resistance will be seen at 1.0000/15, beyond which could head back to the 100 DMA, currently at 1.0060. Selling rallies seems to be the short term plan although back above 1.0020 may then signal further choppy sideways trade.

24 Hour: Prefer to sell rallies   Medium Term: Neutral  
Resistance   Support  
1.0138 10 Mar high 0.9941 Friday low
1.0100 14 Mar high 0.9930 8 Feb low
1.0060 100 DMA 0.9915 200 DMA
1.0015 16 Mar high 0.9900 Minor
1.0000 Psychological 0.9870 Minor


Economic data highlights will include:

M:

T:  SECO Economic Forecast, Trade Balance

W:

T:

F:

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