UK Q4 GDP revised lower, EU inflation data on the tap
|Data from the UK showed that the second revised estimate was lowered to 0.4% down from the first estimate of 0.5% for the quarter. This brought the annual GDP in the UK to 1.4% on the year missing estimates of 1.5%. The business investment for the quarter was also revised to show a flat print, compared to the initial estimates of 0.5%. The British Pound was seen falling on the news.
Later in the day, the New Zealand quarterly retail sales data showed a 1.7% increase on the quarter ending December 2017. This was stronger than expected as retail sales increased from 0.3% in the third quarter.
Looking ahead the data will cover the final inflation estimates for the month of January. Canada will also be releasing the inflation figures. Economists forecast a 0.4% increase on the month, which would reverse the 0.4% decline from the previous month. A number of Fed officials will also be speaking which includes Dudley, Mester and Williams.
EURUSD intra-day analysis
EURUSD (1.2302): The EURUSD managed to post a modest rebound yesterday closing on a bullish note. However, the gains look to be short lived as price action earlier this morning shows a reversal. This coincides with the rally to the resistance level at 1.2363 - 1.2333 level. As long as the resistance holds, EURUSD could be seen posting further declines targeting the immediate support at 1.2090 - 1.2070 region. Price will of course need to close below the previous lows at 1.2213 from February 9th.
GBPUSD intra-day analysis
GBPUSD (1.3943): The British pound had initially weakened on the day as the currency pair posted an intraday low to 1.3856 before recovering to close the day on a higher note. Price action suggests that the support level around 1.3902 will stall the declines in the near term. Overall, GBPUSD continues to trade within the triangle pattern posting a consolidation over the medium term. A strong breakout to the downside, below 1.3902 is required for GBPUSD to resume the declines towards 1.3611 - 1.3589.
NZDUSD intra-day analysis
NZDUSD (0.7293): The New Zealand dollar was seen consolidating near the 0.7333 level but the rebound in prices at this resistance level failed. At the time of writing, NZDUSD is seen posting a decline off the resistance level. This could potentially indicate a decline toward 0.7160 level of support in the near term. Alternately, a close above 0.7333 on a daily basis could indicate a continuation to the sideways range in the NZDUSD.
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