Analysis

The oil price fell modestly this morning

Market movers today

  • It is a relat ively quiet start on the data front to a week that brings us important inflation releases in the US on Tuesday and in the eurozone on Wednesday.

  • Today in the eurozone we get figures for the M3 money supply and loan growth. M3 growth cont inues to hover around the 5% level with 5.3% growth in March. We expect a similar figure for April. More interest ingly, loan growth was very st rong in March. Both households and NFCs saw increases of respect ively EUR16bn and EUR18bn in loans, leading to yearly growth rates of 2.4% and 2.3%. The figures should have been good news for the ECB as they show how well the monetary accommodat ion is t ransmit t ing to the economy.

  • In Sweden, we are set to receive both the Riksbank April financial market stat ist ics, including household credit growt h, and St at ist ics Sweden’s April t rade balance data.

 

Selected market news

The Asian equity markets have had a mixed session amid modest t rading volume this morning as the US, the UK and Chinese mainland markets are closed today. Japan and South Korea saw modest gains, while others posted small losses.

The oil price fell modest ly this morning as WTI dropped below USD50. In the fixed income markets 10Y US Treasuries are t rading at the 2.25% level, while 10Y JGBs cont inue to be kept in a t ight range around 0%.

San Francisco Federal Reserve president John Williams stated in a speech in Singapore this morning that the US economy is st rong enough to withstand three to four hikes from the Federal Reserve. There will be more speeches from Federal Reserve members this week ahead of the Fed meet ing in June.

 

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