Analysis

ECB, Riksbank and Norges Bank meetings coming up

Market Movers ahead

  • In the euro area, we expect the ECB to announce a QE extension by nine months at a pace of EUR30bn. Apart from a scaling down of QE purchases, we do not expect the ECB to make any changes to its forward guidance at the upcoming meeting. 

  • We do not expect changes to the Swedish repo rate forecast when the Riksbank meets.

  • In Norway, we expect Norges Bank to stay on hold as it is one of the intermediate meetings without a Monetary Policy Report and a press conference.

  • The Chinese 19th Congress of the Communist Party continues and the new Standing Committee (SC) of the Politburo is presented on Wednesday.

  • The first estimates of Q3 GDP growth are due out in both the UK and US next week.

 

Global macro and market themes

  • Risk assets are supported by a long list of favourable factors – not least strong profit growth and cautious central banks.

  • A moderate slowdown in China will cause some headwind for EM assets but should not derail the global recovery.

  • Bond yields and EUR/USD are set to stay range bound in the short term.

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