Producer price deflationary trends cast doubt on the recovery

07/10/2020 16:06:38 GMT|ByMike “Mish” Shedlock's

Producers prices unexpectedly declined in June following a bounce in May.

Deflationary trends resume

The BLS Producer Price Report shows deflationary trends resume in June.

Final demand

Services: The index for final demand services moved down 0.3 percent in June, the largest decrease since falling 0.3 percent in February. The June decline can be attributed to margins for final demand trade services, which dropped 1.8 percent.
Goods: The index for final demand goods rose 0.2 percent in June after increasing 1.6 percent in May. Leading the June advance, prices for final demand energy jumped 7.7 percent.
Food:Final demand foods dropped 5.2 percent
Less Food and Energy: The index for final demand goods less foods and energy inched up 0.1 percent.

Economists miss the mark

Real economy vs the stock market

Not only did economists miss the mark badly, results were outside the range of any estimate on three of four categories.

Prices did not rebound as expected.

Demand destruction tops prices except of course for the stock market. That's where the inflation is found.

Understanding demand destruction

There is No Recovery in the Aerospace Industry
Fewer People Pay Their Rent on Time in July
United Warns It May Cut 36,000 Employees
New York City Commercial Property Sales Plunge to 2009 Lows

There will be no recovery without a recovery in jobs. The recent data is grim.

Total Unemployment Claims on the Rise

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