Analysis

Market themes of the Day: UK construction activity opens up the week

What you need to know before markets open
Main themes:
 

  • The economic activity bottomed up in February with the final PMI reading for the Eurozone in February ticking up to 49.3 but remaining in contraction territory.
  • The US manufacturing ISM dipped to an 18-month low of 54.2 in February.
  • Canadian GDP missed the market forecast big time rising mere 0.4% quarterly annualized sending CAD lower about 170 pips to 1.3300 against the greenback.
  • The US President Trump said that the US dollar is too strong, before attacking the Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, who "likes raising interest rates" on Saturday.
  • The Bank of Japan Governor Kuroda said the Bank needs to pay attention to the risk of financial intermediation lowering due to the monetary stimulus.
  • UK  construction PMI is expected to fall to 50.2 in February, approaching the 50-line dividing the economic contraction from expansion.

Europe

  • German final manufacturing PMI confirmed further dip into the contraction territory with the final reading of 47.6 in February.
  • German unemployment is seen steady at 5.0% in February.
  • The Eurozone manufacturing PMI ticked up slightly but remained in the territory of the economic contraction with February reading of 49.3.
  • The Eurozone inflation rose 1.5% y/y  in February with core inflation missing the estimate while rising 1.0% y/y.
  • Sentix indicator is expected to rise to -3.1 in February.

UK

  • The UK manufacturing PMI fell to 52.0 in February, down from 52.8 in the previous month as Brexit uncertainty weighs on business outlook.
  • The UK construction PMI is expected to remain stuck near 50-line dividing the economic contraction from expansion with 50.2 reading in February.

US

  • The US manufacturing ISM dipped to an 18-month low of 54.2 in February.

Canada

  • Canadian GDP missed the market forecast big time rising mere 0.4% quarterly annualized sending CAD lower about 170 pips to 1.3300 against the greenback.

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