Analysis

Market themes of the Day: Brexit deal sees Sterling bleeding as Draghi and Eurozone inflation headline

What you need to know before markets open
Main themes:

  • The UK Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab and Pensions Secretary Ester McVey stepped down indicating boiling discontent with the Brexit agreement. 
  • The whisper number of members of parliament likely to support no-confidence vote is 40 with 48 needed to trigger the move.
  • The US Commerce Secretary Ross said the US still plans to implement 25% tariffs on China since January, increasing the pressure before the US-China trade meeting.
  • Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said “now it is a good time” to review Fed’s strategies of pursuing dual goals.
  • The UK retail sales disappointed in October falling for the second month in a row in October. 
  • The US retail sales ex-autos rose 0.7% m/m in October after falling -0.1% m/m in the previous months. "American consumers have affirmed they are still in charge. The rebound in retail sales in October leading into the holiday shopping season is good news for the economy, the Fed and the dollar," Joseph Trevisani, senior analyst at FXStreet noted after the report was made public on Thursday. 
  • ECB President Mario Draghi opens the European European Banking Congress with his speech in Frankfurt at 8:30 GMT.

Europe

  • The Eurozone trade balance surplus shrank to €13.1 billion in September 2018, compared with €25.3 billion in September last year.
  • ECB chief economist Peter Praet said in a speech that the Eurozone domestic demand remained robust in light of the global economy and China expected to slow down in 2018. The third-quarter German GDP fall is expected to be reversed in the final quarter of 2018.  down in 2018.
  • ECB President Mario Draghi opens the European European Banking Congress with his speech in Frankfurt at 8:30 GMT.
  • The Eurozone inflation is expected to remain at 2.2% y/y with core inflation seen up 1.1% y/y in October.

UK

  • The UK Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab and Pensions Secretary Ester McBey stepped down just one day after the Brexit agreement negotiated between the UK and the EU with Raab saying “I cannot in good conscience support the terms proposed for our deal with the EU.”
  • The UK retail sales slumped -0.5% over the month in October for the second month in a row while core retail sales fell -0.4% m/m.  

US

  • The US retail sales ex-autos rose 0.7% m/m in October after falling -0.1% m/m in the previous months. 
  • The US weekly jobless claims ticked up to 216K in the week ending November 9.
  • Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said “now it is a good time” to review Fed’s strategies of pursuing dual goals with the review planned for next year.
  • The US industrial production is expected to increase 0.2% m/m, the Fed is expected to report.
     

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.


RELATED CONTENT

Loading ...



Copyright © 2024 FOREXSTREET S.L., All rights reserved.