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Analysis

Inflation Soft & Housing Starts Solid in Quiet Week

U.S. Review

Inflation Soft & Housing Starts Solid in Quiet Week

  • A strong print for housing starts in June was the most noteworthy piece of economic news in an otherwise quiet data week. Starts jumped 8.3 percent, while building permits also rose a healthy 7.4 percent.
  • Import price inflation was subdued in June, although excluding petroleum, prices eked out a gain.
  • The Leading Economic Index surged 0.6 percent in June, the largest increase since December 2014. Initial jobless claims matched the second-lowest reading of the expansion this past week, another encouraging sign for economic growth in H2.

Global Review

Good Data on the Economy; Weak Data on Inflation

  • The week started with a slightly better-than-expected result for the Chinese economy in the second quarter, with growth topping expectations at 6.9 percent over a year earlier and matching the rate of growth of the first quarter of the year.
  • As expected, the ECB kept its policy stance without change but Mario Draghi, the ECB president, sounded a bit more dovish than what markets have been expecting as the monetary institution gets closer to what should be the start of a tightening process.

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