Analysis

House party

U.S. Review 

House Party 

  • Soaring confidence among homebuilders, a pace of residential construction activity that topped expectations and existing homes selling at the fastest pace in 14 years were the highlights of a week in which housing data dominated the economic news. 
  • The consumer rebound has been another strong part of the economic recovery, although retail sales figures released this week showed that spending was losing momentum in October, even as holiday sales remain on track for a banner year.
  • Global Review

Uneven and Uncertain Global Economic Recovery 

  • The international economic news over the past week has been somewhat mixed. On the positive side, China’s October data showed ongoing growth in manufacturing and firming retail and service sector activity. While Chinese growth is supporting the Asian region, last week did see central banks in Indonesia and the Philippines ease monetary policy further. 
  • The global growth outlook, especially over the interim period ahead, remains uncertain given the renewed spread of COVID cases among developed economies in particular. Growth is slowing across Europe, and next week’s Eurozone November PMIs could perhaps signal negative GDP growth in Q4.

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