Analysis

Hanging Man on US Dollar Index precedes CPI

 

Daily

Price action on the US Dollar Index is interesting. Monday may have charted a hanging man (green arrow), which is considered a bearish candlestick. A hanging man comes after a sustained up move and has a buying tail and small body. Tuesday’s follow through was a long-legged doji, which indicated indecision by both bulls and bears. So far for today’s session we have a bearish candle (still to complete). No doubt, CPI data out today will alter the picture. However, it is interesting to note that price action seems to be indicating that inflation weakness is still a worry, despite yesterday’s PPI number. The MACD histogram is ticking down and may be indicative of weakness ahead. The CPI release in our view is very important and will reflect Fed policy going forward.

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