Analysis

ES_F Elliott Wave View: Ending Impulse

Short Term Elliott Wave view in ES_F suggests the rally to 2403.75 ended Minor wave A. Minor wave B unfolded as an Expanded Flat Elliott Wave structure where Minute wave ((a)) ended at 2379, Minute wave ((b)) ended at 2404.5, and Minute wave ((c)) of B ended at 2344.5. After ending the pullback, the Index started a new leg higher and the rally from 2344.5 low looks to be unfolding as a 5 waves Elliott Wave impulse structure where Minutte wave (i) ended at 2375, Minutte wave (ii) ended at 2361, Minutte wave (iii) ended at 2388 and Minutte wave (iv) ended at 2378. Minutte wave (v) is in progress and the Index has scope to extend higher towards 2404.2 – 2410.5 area and this last push higher should also end Minutte wave (a).

Once Minutte wave (a) is complete, the Index is expected to pullback within Minutte wave (b) in 3, 7, or 11 swing to correct cycle from 5/18 low (2344.7) before the rally resumes again. Ideally the last push higher in Minutte wave (v) of (a) breaks above the previous peak at 2404.5 as a break above that level will give confirmation that the Index has started the next leg higher. If Minutte wave (a) can end above 2404.5, there’s a better chance that Minutte wave (b) pullback can hold above 2344.7 for the next leg higher. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback and expect buyers to appear again once Minutte wave (b) pullback is complete at later stage, provided that pivot at 2344.7 low remains intact.

ES_F 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

 


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