Daily technical and trading outlook – USD/JPY
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Last Update At 21 Jul 2021 00:11GMT.
Trend daily chart
Sideways
Daily Indicators
Falling
21 HR EMA
109.76
55 HR EMA
109.75
Trend hourly chart
Sideways
Hourly Indicators
Rising
13 HR RSI
61
14 HR DMI
+ve
Daily analysis
Choppy consolidation to continue.
Resistance
110.69 - Last week's high (Wed).
110.34 - Last Fri's high.
110.03 - Mon's European high.
Support
109.72 - Last Thur's low.
109.34 - Tue's low.
109.07 - Mon's 7-week low.
USD/JPY - 109.89.. Despite initial sideways swings on Tue n intra-day gain to 109.74 in Europe, dlr briefly fell to 109.34 b4 rallying in NY in tandem with US yields n hit 109.95 due to risk sentiment on rebound in global stocks.
On the bigger picture, dlr's fall fm 118.66 (Dec 2016) to 2019 low at 104.46 (Sep) confirms early uptrend fm 2016 29-month bottom at 99.00 has hit a top there. Despite hitting a 3-1/2 year bottom of 101.19 in Mar 2020 on risk-off trades due to COVID-19 pandemic, dlr's strg rise to 111.71 signals low is made. Having said that, although price ratcheted higher to a 15-month peak of 111.65 in early Jul after a retreat to 107.49 in Apr, subsequent cross-inspired fall to 109.54 in Jul signals long-awaited correction has taken place as 111.65 top was also accompanied by 'bearish divergences' on daily indicators n weakness to 108. 57 is seen but 108.19 (38.2% r of 102.60-111.65) may hold. Abv 110.69, 111.65.
Today, dlr's rebound fm 109.34 to 109.95 in NY on short covering suggests recent decline fm Jul's 111.65 peak has made a temp. low at Mon's 7-week trough at 109.07 n rising hourly indicators signal consolidation with upside bias remains for gain twd 110.34 b4 down. Below 109.34, 109.07, then 108.57.
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