Cycle Trading: Miner Resilience
|When we looked at the Miners on Monday we noted that they late in their timing band band for a daily cycle low and that the oscillators had started to diverge. The Miners appeared to be ready to begin their daily cycle decline. So with the dollar rallying on Tuesday the Miners demonstrated bullish resilience.
The dollar broke below the previous daily cycle low on last week on day 12, which is too early to expect a daily cycle low. The dollar formed a swing low on Thursday and rallied again on Tuesday. Since the dollar's daily cycle low can stretch to 26 - 30 days, Tuesday's rally may just be setting up the declining trend line for the dollar as it declines into the pending daily cycle low.
And I think that is what the Miners were sniffing out on Tuesday.
The Miners have been consolidating the since becoming stretched above the 10 day MA as a result of rallying strongly into the year’s end. This allowed the 10 day MA to catch up to price. And if the dollar does compete its daily cycle decline that should ignite the Miners to break bullishly out of consolidation.
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